Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 9.048970 10.149102 11.289936 12.558119 13.925228 15.351468 16.948702
2024-10-13 7.530419 9.126023 10.868996 12.901118 15.191934 17.681515 20.578453
2024-10-20 6.292873 8.104135 10.163472 12.651059 15.547111 18.785729 22.653958
2024-10-27 5.208870 7.103150 9.338165 12.125459 15.463442 19.288960 23.959638
2024-11-03 4.692478 6.711236 9.166616 12.307920 16.154093 20.645984 26.222182
2024-11-10 4.268528 6.382745 9.027288 12.489492 16.812641 21.945475 28.409308
2024-11-17 3.769714 5.905711 8.655957 12.341579 17.034571 22.697376 29.928435
2024-11-24 3.414554 5.584608 8.453441 12.379102 17.464531 23.687715 31.729843
2024-12-01 3.074313 5.251473 8.206457 12.333518 17.769359 24.511045 33.321993
2024-12-08 2.786622 4.966215 8.000481 12.321076 18.100704 25.357900 34.940850
2024-12-15 2.742472 5.032699 8.276694 12.956511 19.281576 27.288658 37.933410
2024-12-22 2.517990 4.807364 8.126260 12.997255 19.670075 28.207120 39.655465
2024-12-29 2.468785 4.853898 8.370994 13.597656 20.827266 30.146430 42.720594
2025-01-05 2.351108 4.782389 8.438309 13.948590 21.653690 31.669328 45.275538
2025-01-12 2.082583 4.441769 8.086053 13.685104 21.629123 32.070958 46.384206
2025-01-19 1.771813 3.999142 7.550466 13.128809 21.175686 31.886204 46.715862
2025-01-26 1.662954 3.896203 7.531051 13.321946 21.763285 33.087329 48.864521
2025-02-02 1.562756 3.799489 7.514262 13.514090 22.348153 34.287884 51.021384
2025-02-09 1.400538 3.572559 7.274386 13.357568 22.427313 34.799626 52.266042
2025-02-16 1.290201 3.433067 7.168118 13.397278 22.783622 35.687697 54.015747
2025-02-23 1.173583 3.269206 7.010816 13.349037 23.006093 36.389799 55.518536
2025-03-02 1.072867 3.126813 6.880816 13.335870 23.274866 37.154343 57.108460
2025-03-09 1.088456 3.229383 7.178347 14.008100 24.566649 39.354256 60.661633